Analysis, Case Studies, and Commentary
Leaning on SPUR’s contentious “Bumper to Bumper” report, The East Bay Times (aka Merc) again goes big with the scare tactics. But how much of this projected catastrophe is grounded in reality? In an Opp Now exclusive, transit expert Tom Rubin fact checks four of the most dubious assumptions behind SPUR's predictions.
While the SF Mayor’s popularity may carry through reforms and a parcel tax, reining in the city’s “out-of-control budget” requires a yet-to-materialize constituency. So says Frontier Republicans and Friends President Bill Jackson in an exclusive Opportunity Now comment – the latest in our ongoing series on where the state and region are headed this November:
In his pro-transit bailout Merc op-ed, SJ CM David Cohen gets a lot wrong, spins a lot of fabrications, and displays a lack of understanding about basic transit and tax truths. For an Opportunity Now exclusive, former CA Gov candidate Thunder Parley fact checks five of Cohen’s biggest misleads:
What does this November’s election say about which way California and the nation are headed? As part of an Opportunity Now exclusive series on this November’s election, SV Log Cabin Republicans President Shane Patrick Connolly says that despite many reasons for optimism, acute price pressures and media bias weigh on voters and will favor the out-of-office party.
The Mercury News reports that passenger traffic at airports is sinking--with SJC and OAK getting the worst of the downturn. How long before city officials call for a bailout, and promulgate yet another round of doomsday scenarios if we don't pony up more taxes?
In an Opportunity Now exclusive comment for our series on the election, Silicon Valley Chinese Association VP Tony Guan predicts we’re headed toward bigger government with a billionaire’s tax very possible, and only cautious hope for voter ID reform.
Unjustified assumptions. Unpublished data. Undisclosed financial ties. Zero analysis of alternatives. These are just a few of the concerns local transit experts have with SPUR's widely-panned (and widely quoted by local media!) puff research about the impact of the upcoming RTM tax.
So SJ’s tentative agreement with the public sector unions may prevent a strike. But that’s “a very low bar,” says The Municipal Financial Crisis author Mark Moses in an Opportunity Now exclusive commentary: did the city surrender its authority in the deal? If so, why? CPC’s Lance Christensen points to a “conflict of interest” when councilmembers who are endorsed by the unions then ratify milestone agreements with the unions.